Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

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Date: Monday, October 19 | Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
Location: Bills Stadium (Buffalo, New York)
TV: Fox, NFL Network | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)

The warts that plagued the Buffalo Bills (4-1) during their season-opening four-game winning streak were on full display during Tuesday’s 42-16 loss to the Tennessee Titans.
a crowd of people watching a baseball game © Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images

With the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) coming to Bills Stadium for a Monday clash in Week 6 at 5 p.m. EDT, the Bills don’t have to wait long for a shot at redemption, welcoming Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and the Chiefs to Western New York.

This is a show-me-something kind of game for the Bills, who must address their shortcomings from the Titans loss, primarily: the lack of a pass rush, the inability to get off the field on third down, the poor play of the right side of the offensive line, the failure to get Devin Singletary and the ground game going, and those pesky, drive-killing penalties.

Fans of exciting up-and-coming quarterbacks will (hopefully) get to see a fast-paced offensive showdown when Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes square off in what could be the start of the NFL’s next great QB rivalry in Allen vs. Mahomes—a pair of mobile, big-armed quarterbacks.

Both teams are coming off their first losses of 2020, with the Las Vegas Raiders knocking the Chiefs from the ranks of the unbeatens with a 40-32 victory at Arrowhead.

This will be the 49th meeting all-time between the Bills and Chiefs.

The Bills lead the series 26-21-1, with Buffalo earning a 16-10 win in the last matchup on Nov. 26, 2017. Tyrod Taylor completed 19 of 29 passes for 183 yards and an 11-yard TD toss to Zay Jones, while Stephen Hauschka booted three field goals, Lorenzo Alexander and Cedric Thornton each had sacks, and the Bills’ defense held the Chiefs to 55 total rushing yards.

The teams have split the last six meetings while Buffalo has won six of the last ten matchups with Kansas City.

Kansas City is currently listed as a five-point favorite. Here are all the ways to catch Monday’s game from home:
TV/Streaming/Radio Schedule

This line reopened at Chiefs -3.5 earlier this week, but has continued to increase.

The pick: Chiefs -5. In a piece I published earlier this week, I predicted a 35-30 win for the Chiefs. That was back when the line was K.C. -3.5, so I’m not as confident with this recent line move. Still, I will stick with the Chiefs. Kansas City has looked very sketchy in all of its divisional games, so don’t take the Chiefs’ loss to the Raiders last week too seriously. Mahomes and Co. have not lost consecutive games against the spread since Week 6 of last season, and are 4-0 against the spread following their last four against the spread losses.
Over/Under 55.5

While the Chiefs-Bills line has increased, the total has actually decreased. The total was at 58 earlier this week, but has now fallen several points.

The pick: Under 55.5. I originally wanted to slam the Over here, but Will Brinson reminded me on the Pick Six Podcast that it is currently raining in Buffalo and will continue to rain all night. Due to the weather, I’m taking the Under.

The Bills lead the all-time series against the Chiefs, 24-20-1, but Kansas City has won three out of the past four meetings. Below, we will get you caught up on the most intriguing betting angles. All odds are via William Hill Sportsbook.